Fear & Greed Index
CNN Fear & Greed Index aggregates 7 market signals into a 0-100 score. 0-25: Extreme Fear (potential buying opportunity). 75-100: Extreme Greed (market may be overextended). Historically, sharp dips below 25 have preceded market rebounds.
VIX — Market Volatility
CBOE Volatility Index measures expected S&P 500 volatility over 30 days. <15: Low volatility (complacency). 20-30: Elevated concern. >30: High fear, often near market bottoms. Spikes typically coincide with selloffs.
S&P 500 (SPY)
S&P 500 ETF tracks the 500 largest US companies. The primary benchmark for US equity performance. Rising trend = broad market strength. Declining trend = risk-off environment.
10Y-2Y Treasury Spread — Yield Curve
Yield curve spread = 10-year minus 2-year Treasury rate. Positive: Normal (long-term rates higher). Negative (inverted): Historically precedes recessions by 6-18 months. Re-steepening after inversion often signals recession is imminent.
High-Yield Bond Spread — Credit Stress
ICE BofA High-Yield Spread = junk bond yield minus Treasury yield. <3%: Calm credit markets, risk appetite high. 4-5%: Moderate stress. >6%: Credit crunch, flight to safety. Widening spreads signal growing default risk and economic worry.
Indicator Series
Price Symbol
F&G Sub-Indicator